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Weekly Playbook (W/C 2026-08-10)

·214 words·2 mins
ZHOU Zheng
Author
ZHOU Zheng
Builder & Trader

Observations
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Last week witnessed a recovery across almost all commodities, as well as stock indices.

Macro
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The price of the longest-term bond futures rose steadily last week, and the rise continued on Monday (today). This indicates the market is expecting a relatively accommodative monetary environment, which is good for bulls in the commodities market.

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Fig 1. TL2609 Intraday Chart

Grains and Animal Products
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Live hog prices showed a rebound last week, and the rebound continued on Monday (today). Corn futures bottomed last week and rebounded hard on Monday (today).

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Fig 2. C2609 Daily Chart with Live Hog Prices

There is no significant change in the term structure of corn compared with last week.

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Fig 3. Corn Futures Basis

Infrastructure and Real Estate
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Rebar futures also rebounded last week, but the rebound was not strong enough.

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Fig 4. RB2610 Daily Chart

There is no significant change in the term structure of rebar either.

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Fig 5. Rebar Futures Basis

Glass futures’ fall seemed to have halted, and soda ash futures showed a strong rebound, especially this Monday (today).

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Fig 6. FG609 Daily Chart with SA609

Plan
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