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Weekly Playbook (W/C 2026-07-12)

·166 words·1 min
ZHOU Zheng
Author
ZHOU Zheng
Builder & Trader

Recap
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RB2610 gapped up this Monday and touched 3070, my target buy price near the close. Had I submitted the order at the open, it would not have been unlikely to get filled. There was a surge in price on Wednesday, which was most likely due to the US-Iran conflict.

chart
Fig 1. RB2610 Daily Chart

Observations
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Basis
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There has been a significant recovery in basis, which is a good sign.

basis
Fig 2. RB Basis

Profit Margin and Inventory
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There isn’t much change in the profit margin and inventory of of either coke or rebar this week.

Fig 3. Profit Margin & Inventory

Further Comments
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The most active contract for the coke futures J2609 reached a 6-week low on Thursday, and it doesn’t seem that it will stop there. This is a risk for rebar.

Plan
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